diff --git a/src/stats.py b/src/stats.py
index 724cd9b..d73d8ce 100644
--- a/src/stats.py
+++ b/src/stats.py
@@ -52,7 +52,7 @@ def analyze_replay(instance: hanab_game.HanabiInstance, actions: List[hanab_game
                     if card == game.deck[-1]:
                         outcomes.add(GameOutcome.bottom_deck)
             else:
-                if game.deck[game.progress:].count(card) == 2:
+                if game.deck[game.progress:].count(card) == 1:
                     bdrs.append((card, game.draw_pile_size))
                     if card == game.deck[-1]:
                         outcomes.add(GameOutcome.bottom_deck)