diff --git a/src/stats.py b/src/stats.py
index d73d8ce..2734080 100644
--- a/src/stats.py
+++ b/src/stats.py
@@ -53,9 +53,18 @@ def analyze_replay(instance: hanab_game.HanabiInstance, actions: List[hanab_game
                         outcomes.add(GameOutcome.bottom_deck)
             else:
                 if game.deck[game.progress:].count(card) == 1:
-                    bdrs.append((card, game.draw_pile_size))
-                    if card == game.deck[-1]:
-                        outcomes.add(GameOutcome.bottom_deck)
+                    # Only one copy of this 1 remaining in the draw pile.
+                    # See if it is in somebody's hand
+                    num_copies_in_hands = 0
+                    for hand in game.hands:
+                        num_copies_in_hands += hand.count(card)
+                    # Recall we evaluate the discard *before* the card is removed from the hand,
+                    # so there is at least one present.
+                    assert num_copies_in_hands > 0
+                    if num_copies_in_hands == 1:
+                        bdrs.append((card, game.draw_pile_size))
+                        if card == game.deck[-1]:
+                            outcomes.add(GameOutcome.bottom_deck)
 
     for action in actions:
         if action.type == hanab_game.ActionType.Discard: